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Timor-Leste Trade Market 2026: Strategic Review & Growth Forecast

Analyzing emerging volume trends, economic shifts, and critical trade data to power your global strategy.

$163.7 m

Trade Market Size

Indonesia

Leading source of imports

China

Primary export destination

~-13.15%

Market Growth Rate

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Timor-Leste Trade Intelligence: Market Data & Insights

AI Insight

Timor-Leste's trade landscape shows a -13.15% growth contraction in 2023. While imports remain high at $909.2 million, exports plummeted from $471.8M to $163.7M. Petroleum crude oil remains the primary export driver ($106.4M), while petroleum ether leads imports ($187.7M). Indonesia and China are the dominant trade partners, collectively controlling over 66% of the market share. The widening trade deficit and reliance on volatile commodities suggest a need for economic diversification to stabilize the growth trajectory.

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5-Year Export Trend Analysis

AI Insight

Timor-Leste's export value peaked in 2022 at approximately $471.8 million. However, 2023 saw a sharp contraction to $163.7 million, reversing the growth trend observed since 2020. This indicates significant volatility in the country's export performance over the last four years.

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5-Year Import Growth Trajectory

AI Insight

Import values demonstrated a significant upward trend, surging from $494.1 million in 2020 to $933.1 million in 2022. Despite a slight dip to $909.2 million in 2023, import levels remain substantially higher than 2020-2021 levels, reflecting sustained domestic demand.

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Leading Export Products by Value

AI Insight

Petroleum crude oil is the dominant export commodity, valued at $106.4 million in 2023. Other notable exports include aircraft engine parts ($19.1M) and green coffee beans ($12.5M), highlighting a trade profile heavily concentrated in energy and specific primary goods.

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Primary Import Categories by Value

AI Insight

Petroleum ether represents the largest import category at $187.7 million. Other essential imports include broken rice ($58.1M), cement ($21.6M), and motorcycles ($21.5M), reflecting the nation's reliance on external sources for energy, food staples, and infrastructure materials.

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Key Trading Partners by Volume

FijiTanzaniaWestern SaharaCanadaUnited StatesKazakhstanUzbekistanPapua New GuineaIndonesia: 39.89%ArgentinaChileDemocratic Republic of the CongoSomaliaKenyaSudanChadHaitiDominican RepublicRussiaBahamasFalkland IslandsNorwayGreenlandTimor-LesteSouth AfricaLesothoMexicoUruguayBrazilBoliviaPeruColombiaPanamaCosta RicaNicaraguaHondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaBelizeVenezuelaGuyanaSurinameFranceEcuadorPuerto RicoJamaicaCubaZimbabweBotswanaNamibiaSenegalMaliMauritaniaBeninNigerNigeriaCameroonTogoGhanaCôted'IvoireGuineaGuinea-BissauLiberiaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoCentral African RepublicRepublic of the CongoGabonEquatorial GuineaZambiaMalawiMozambiqueEswatiniAngolaBurundiIsraelLebanonMadagascarPalestineThe GambiaTunisiaAlgeriaJordanUnited Arab EmiratesQatarKuwaitIraqOmanVanuatuCambodiaThailandLao PDRMyanmarVietnamDem. Rep. KoreaRepublic of KoreaMongoliaIndia: 6.66%BangladeshBhutanNepalPakistanAfghanistanTajikistanKyrgyzstanTurkmenistanIranSyriaArmeniaSwedenBelarusUkrainePolandAustriaHungaryMoldovaRomaniaLithuaniaLatviaEstoniaGermanyBulgariaGreeceTurkeyAlbaniaCroatiaSwitzerlandLuxembourgBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalSpainIrelandNew CaledoniaSolomon IslandsNew ZealandAustralia: 11.25%Sri LankaChina: 26.17%TaiwanItalyDenmarkUnited KingdomIcelandAzerbaijanGeorgiaPhilippinesMalaysiaBrunei DarussalamSloveniaFinlandSlovakiaCzech RepublicEritreaJapanParaguayYemenSaudi ArabiaNorthern CyprusCyprusMoroccoEgyptLibyaEthiopiaDjiboutiSomalilandUgandaRwandaBosnia and HerzegovinaMacedoniaSerbiaMontenegroKosovoTrinidad and TobagoSouth SudanIndonesia: 39.89%India: 6.66%Australia: 11.25%China: 26.17%
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Indonesia

39.89%
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China

26.17%
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Singapore

16.03%
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Australia

11.25%
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India

6.66%
AI Insight

Indonesia is the primary trade partner, commanding 39.89% of total trade ($312.1M). China holds a significant 26.17% share, followed by Singapore (16.03%) and Australia (11.25%), indicating a strong trade reliance on regional Asian and Oceanic economies.

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Year-Over-Year Trade Growth

Track long-term import growth patterns and identify sectors driving structural changes in Timor-Leste's trade landscape.

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-13.2%Annual Growth
AI Insight

The market experienced a growth rate contraction of -13.15%, signaling a downturn in overall trade momentum during the latest reporting period.

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How to Comply: Timor-Leste Trade Regulations Explained

Before Shipment
1. Obtain Import License for regulated goods. 2. Secure Phytosanitary/Veterinary certificates for agricultural items. 3. Provide Health certificates for food products. 4. Obtain Certificate of Origin. 5. Pre-shipment inspection for specific industrial machinery.
Documentation Required
1. Commercial Invoice. 2. Bill of Lading or Air Waybill. 3. Detailed Packing List. 4. Single Administrative Document (DAU) for customs declaration. 5. Certificate of Origin for preferential tariff claims.

Avoid costly delays and penalties. Get Timor-Leste's customs requirements, documentation standards, and compliance rules right—the first time

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Timor-Leste FTA Opportunities: Reduce Tariffs & Expand Markets

Most SMEs overpay because they don't know which FTAs apply. See Timor-Leste's trade agreements, check your eligibility, and start saving.

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  • PACER Plus
  • Samoa Agreement (EU-OACPS)
  • WTO Multilateral Agreements
  • Timor-Leste-Indonesia Trade Agreement
  • ASEAN (Accession in progress)
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